Article(id=1308453892438643662, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146123302524792850, issueId=1308453882472984927, articleNumber=null, orderNo=null, doi=10.3969/j.issn.1672-6073.2026.03.005, pmid=null, cstr=null, oa=null, hot=null, price=null, onlineType=0, articleFormat=0, articleType=null, articleTypeStr=null, receivedDate=1760112000000, receivedDateStr=2025-10-11, revisedDate=1764172800000, revisedDateStr=2025-11-27, acceptedDate=null, acceptedDateStr=null, onlineDate=1789889317855, onlineDateStr=2026-09-20, pubDate=null, pubDateStr=null, doiRegisterDate=null, doiRegisterDateStr=null, onlineIssueDate=1789889317855, onlineIssueDateStr=2026-09-20, onlineJustAcceptDate=null, onlineJustAcceptDateStr=null, onlineFirstDate=null, onlineFirstDateStr=null, sourceXml=null, magXml=null, createTime=1789889317855, creator=13701087609, updateTime=1789889317855, updator=13701087609, issue=Issue{id=1308453882472984927, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146123302524792850, year='2026', volume='39', issue='3', pageStart='1', pageEnd='150', issueExtLink='null', onlineDate='null', pubDate='1781020800000', pubDateStr='2026-06-10', beforeIssueId=null, nextIssueId=null, price=null, status=1, issueComplete=1, articleOrder=1, issueType=-1, specialIssue=null, createTime=1789889315479, creator='13701087609', updateTime=1789889814158, updator='13701087609', preIssue=null, nextIssue=null, articleTotal=null, ext={EN=IssueExt(id=1308455974147224139, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146123302524792850, issueId=1308453882472984927, language=EN, specialIssueTitle=, coverIllustrator=null, specialIssueEditor=, specialIssueAbout=), CN=IssueExt(id=1308455974151418444, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146123302524792850, issueId=1308453882472984927, language=CN, specialIssueTitle=, coverIllustrator=null, specialIssueEditor=, specialIssueAbout=)}, issueFiles=null, downloadFileDto=null}, startPage=39, endPage=46, ext={EN=ArticleExt(id=1308453892837102543, articleId=1308453892438643662, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146123302524792850, language=EN, title=Spatiotemporal Heterogeneity of Land Value Premium Around Urban Rail Transit Stations in Metropolitan Areas: A Perspective from Economic Cycles, columnId=1153981622165689057, journalTitle=Urban Rapid Rail Transit, columnName=TOD, runingTitle=null, highlight=null, articleAbstract=

To address the limitations of existing research on land value premiums of urban rail transit, which are characterized by short time spans and insufficient exploration of the long-term dynamic impacts of economic cycles, this study, based on data from the Tokyo Metropolitan Area spanning 1984-2023, for the first time, constructs a long-time-series framework covering the bubble period, recession period, and recovery period. It employs the Geographical and Temporal Weighted Regression (GTWR) model to quantitatively capture the spatiotemporal heterogeneity of land value premiums. The results indicate that during the bubble period, the rail transit-induced land value premium exhibits a core-periphery gradient attenuation, with commercial land demonstrating the highest sensitivity; during the recession period, the premium effect reverses direction, leading to strip-shaped depreciation along rail transit corridors in urban areas while exurban land maintains stronger stability in its premium levels; during the recovery period, the overall premium elasticity weakens, yet peri-urban commercial land shows prominent growth potential, with elasticity approximately 1.5 times that of urban areas. The study reveals that there exists a dynamic interaction between macroeconomics and transit accessibility, necessitating the establishment of a cross-cycle response mechanism. This research uncovers the nonlinear dynamic interaction mechanism between macroeconomic cycles and rail transit accessibility, fills the research gap in the quantitative study of cross-cycle spatiotemporal heterogeneity of rail transit- induced land value premiums, provides data support for quantifying such premiums in metropolitan areas under economic fluctuations, and offers theoretical support for mitigating systemic risks and enhancing planning resilience.

, authors=Yuansong MA, Junfang LI, Hua HU, Hao JIN, authorsList=Yuansong MA, Junfang LI, Hua HU, Hao JIN, authorCompany=null, correspAuthors=Junfang LI, authorNote=null, correspAuthorsNote=null, copyrightStatement=null, copyrightOwner=null, extLink=null, articleAbsUrl=null, sourceXml=null, magXml=null, pdfUrl=null, pdf=null, pdfFileSize=null, pdfExtLink=null, richHtmlUrl=null, mobilePdfUrl=null, reviewReport=null, pdfFirstPage=null, abstractGraph=null, abstractGraphContent=null, abstractVideo=null, citation=null, cebUrl=null, magXmlContent=null, mapNumber=null, fund=null), CN=ArticleExt(id=1308453893306864592, articleId=1308453892438643662, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1146123302524792850, language=CN, title=经济周期视角下轨道交通站域土地溢价规律时空异质性研究, columnId=1308453888911241626, journalTitle=都市快轨交通, columnName=TOD专栏, runingTitle=null, highlight=null, articleAbstract=

针对既有轨道交通土地溢价研究时间跨度较短，对经济周期的长期动态影响研究不足的问题，基于东京都市圈1984—2023年数据，首次构建跨越泡沫期、衰退期与复苏期的长时序框架，采用地理时间加权回归模型（GTWR），量化捕捉土地溢价的时空异质性规律。研究表明：泡沫期轨道交通溢价效应呈“核心-边缘”梯度衰减，商业用地敏感性最高；衰退期溢价效应逆向转化，市区沿轨交廊道出现带状贬值，而远郊用地溢价展现出更强的稳定性；复苏期溢价弹性整体弱化，近郊商业用地增长潜力凸显，弹性约为市区1.5倍。宏观经济与交通可达性存在动态交互作用，需建立跨周期响应机制。成果揭示宏观经济周期与轨道交通可达性的非线性动态交互机制，填补轨道交通土地溢价跨周期时空异质性量化研究的空白，为经济波动下的都市圈轨道交通土地溢价量化提供数据支持，为规避系统性风险、提升规划韧性提供理论支撑。

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马源松，男，硕士研究生，主要从事交通规划与管理研究，396570388@qq.com

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马源松，男，硕士研究生，主要从事交通规划与管理研究，396570388@qq.com

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