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2 Key Laboratory of Land Consolidation, Xi'an, Shaanxi Province 710054, China, correspAuthors=null, authorNote=null, correspAuthorsNote=null, copyrightStatement=null, copyrightOwner=null, extLink=null, articleAbsUrl=null, sourceXml=null, magXml=null, pdfUrl=null, pdf=null, pdfFileSize=null, pdfExtLink=null, richHtmlUrl=null, mobilePdfUrl=null, reviewReport=null, pdfFirstPage=null, abstractGraph=null, abstractGraphContent=null, abstractVideo=null, citation=null, cebUrl=null, magXmlContent=null, mapNumber=null, fund=null), CN=ArticleExt(id=1309575103764062717, articleId=1309575101687882236, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1308397196074385509, language=CN, title=基于CA-Markov模型的黄河流域上游草地退化时空分异特征及预测研究, columnId=1309565024058835950, journalTitle=草地学报, columnName=研究论文, runingTitle=null, highlight=null, articleAbstract=以黄河流域上游草地为研究对象，基于2000—2023年多源数据，结合“草地覆盖度类型转化+退化评价指标体系” 双视角解析退化问题，并运用CA-Markov模型预测未来退化格局。结果表明：（1）草地以中覆盖度草地为主，23年间草地总面积减少2201.60 km²，且覆盖度转换波动大，呈现明显的空间分异特征。（2）未退化草地面积占比由59.77%降至54.62%，整体呈“一降三升”退化特征。空间呈“西南低-东北高”格局，且退化等级升高区面积超过降低区。（3）至2030年，未退化草地比例进一步下降，轻、中、重度退化比例上升，退化态势持续加剧。研究可为区域草地保护与管理提供科学依据。, authors=张艳^1,2, 张嘉倩^1,2, authorsList=张艳, 张嘉倩, authorCompany=1 长安大学土地工程学院, 陕西 西安 710054;
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